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| If you have lung cancer, what is the percent probability that you are a smoker? |
| >80% |
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60% |
[ 6 ] |
| beteeen 60% and 80% |
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30% |
[ 3 ] |
| between 40% and 60% |
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10% |
[ 1 ] |
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| Total Votes : 10 |
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| Author |
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Pinhead
The Bloody Clans
Joined: 25-Feb-2002 00:00
Posts: 1258
Location: United States
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 Posted: 09-Mar-2007 19:02 Post subject: Interesting factoids part 2 |
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The rest of the question
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chihawk
Clan Blood Spirit
Master Bartender
Joined: 04-Feb-2002 00:00
Posts: 8051
Location: United States
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| Posted: 09-Mar-2007 21:53 Post subject: |
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It's estimated that over 85% of lung cancer is caused by smoking...how that relates to the percentage you ask for I'm not sure.
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Rudel Gurken
Allisters Light Thunder
Major
Joined: 15-Jun-2005 00:00
Posts: 1447
Location: Germany
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| Posted: 10-Mar-2007 02:31 Post subject: |
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As smoking multiplies the chance of getting lung cancer I'll go with the 80+!
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Seraph
Blighted Sun Battalion
2nd Company
"Seraph's Slaughter"
Major
Joined: 11-Mar-2004 00:00
Posts: 1744
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| Posted: 10-Mar-2007 22:50 Post subject: |
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Like chihawk sated. it is ESTIMATED. No one can really pinpoint the numbers as it is also about the person's lifestyle, genes, environment, etc...
I find it amusing to see some people take estimates and educated guesses to base an entire ad campaign on. Let alone some people verbally and physically attacking other people over these same statistics.
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SaberDance
Federated Suns
Colonel
Joined: 07-May-2004 00:00
Posts: 837
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| Posted: 10-Mar-2007 23:50 Post subject: |
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I'm doing a Benefit Cost Analysis class right now and we use the smoking statistics a lot because they are so flexible. The variance and range on all these things is pretty large (definitely significant, and on the upper sides, but very flexible). Depending on which number you use, and what you value life and health at, smoking regulations can come out on all ends of the BCA.
This also accounts for the "depends on whose numbers you use" phenomenon, where some studies find smoking to be glaringly harmful, and others find it to be a mild social annoyance.
That said, I have no idea what number you have up your sleave. The numbers quioed to me have never broken 70%, but I've seen them as low as 30%.
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