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Mechlord3130 Clan Nova Cat Point Commander
Joined: 24-Jul-2002 00:00 Posts: 17
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Posted: 02-Aug-2002 17:46 Post subject: My die rolls SUCK! |
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As a long time gamer, it has occured to me that I consistantly roll below average over the long haul.
A friend of mine and I were speaking of this the other evening, and chuckling about my 20 year losing streak in RISK, and I brought that up.
He said that more likely it was just my perception, because the laws of chance mathimatically prove what I was saying simply could't happen.
"Well," I said, "If I consistantly roll below average, and there is someone else out there that consistantly rolls ABOVE average, wouldn't that be the same math as if I were doing all the rolls? If true, doesn't the math then balance out?"
I think I stumped him on that. A little question to the forum... Any one else out there think they either roll statisically above or below average?
_________________
Mechlord
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That which does not kill me will probably taste great well done, with a side of sharp chedder, and a fine red wine
[ This Message was edited by: Mechlord3130 on 2002-08-02 17:51 ] _________________ Mechlord
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That which does not kill me will probably taste great well done, with a side of sharp chedder, and a fine red wine
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Ares Clan Jade Falcon Star Colonel
Joined: 20-Feb-2002 00:00 Posts: 737
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Posted: 02-Aug-2002 18:12 Post subject: RE: My die rolls SUCK! |
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Under the Law of Large Numbers, a non-rigged die roll will average out more and more for how many trials you do. However, it's not like that in a game situation, you don't mathamatically and scientifically roll each die. How you roll it, what side it was when you picked it up, and a whole bunch of intangibles can all effect it. Statistically you may roll below average, but stats don't mean much when you throw down. _________________ I have the right to remain silent. Anything I say will undoubtedly incriminate me.
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Sir Henry Team Bansai Senior Tech Specialist
Joined: 04-Feb-2002 00:00 Posts: 4899 Location: United States
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Posted: 02-Aug-2002 18:41 Post subject: RE: My die rolls SUCK! |
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Or he has rotten Dice...
_________________ Sir Henry
A Dragon in the disguise of a bunny, is still a Dragon.
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Hardware Clan Ghost Bear Star Colonel
Joined: 04-Feb-2002 00:00 Posts: 605 Location: United States
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Posted: 02-Aug-2002 19:35 Post subject: RE: My die rolls SUCK! |
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I can tell you Horhiro has dice that consistently roll higher than average. In fact his brother and I have banned those dice from use when we game.
_________________ The more I get to know people the more I like my dog.
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Horhiro Draconis Combine Samurai
Joined: 04-Feb-2002 00:00 Posts: 1625 Location: United States
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Posted: 02-Aug-2002 21:03 Post subject: RE: My die rolls SUCK! |
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Ssshhhhhhh! It's only because they've seen what happends to my dice that don't roll high! Dice Intimidation: It works.
_________________ "I have lived my life trying to be a virtuous man. The Dragon admires tenacity, and the code of the samurai upholds it as well." -Minobu Tetsuhara
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Black_Phoenix Clan Nova Cat Star Colonel
Joined: 23-Jun-2002 00:00 Posts: 382
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Posted: 04-Aug-2002 14:14 Post subject: RE: My die rolls SUCK! |
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I would have to say that the subject of your post applies to me too. I cannot get a good die roll no matter how hard I try. The only good rolls I get are for damage, where I can normally hit the CT with a good number of shots. But even then it is usually with small weapons. I end up picking my opponents apart piece by piece. Which sucks for the salvage operations.
_________________ History is much like an endless waltz. The three beats of war, peace and revolution continue on forever.
-Gundam Wing: Endless Waltz
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Sir Henry Team Bansai Senior Tech Specialist
Joined: 04-Feb-2002 00:00 Posts: 4899 Location: United States
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Posted: 05-Aug-2002 08:04 Post subject: RE: My die rolls SUCK! |
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That's where a Gauss to the head is very helpful...
_________________ Sir Henry
A Dragon in the disguise of a bunny, is still a Dragon.
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Hardware Clan Ghost Bear Star Colonel
Joined: 04-Feb-2002 00:00 Posts: 605 Location: United States
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Posted: 05-Aug-2002 11:52 Post subject: RE: My die rolls SUCK! |
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Yeah, I recall the first time I ever saw a UAC20 in play. Horhiro was piloting the mech, first time he's in range he declares a double fire and rolls a deuce.
(whirrrrrr...clunk! chang! Damn it!)
_________________ The more I get to know people the more I like my dog.
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Sir Henry Team Bansai Senior Tech Specialist
Joined: 04-Feb-2002 00:00 Posts: 4899 Location: United States
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Posted: 05-Aug-2002 16:05 Post subject: RE: My die rolls SUCK! |
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That's at a range of what, 9. I've had a Gauss to the head at 21. Now that sucks....
_________________ Sir Henry
A Dragon in the disguise of a bunny, is still a Dragon.
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Horhiro Draconis Combine Samurai
Joined: 04-Feb-2002 00:00 Posts: 1625 Location: United States
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Posted: 05-Aug-2002 18:42 Post subject: RE: My die rolls SUCK! |
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Yes, that was really lame. What sucked was that no one fired on me after that! I couldn't even sponge up some damage for my star mates as they had no fear of me from that point on (couldn't even engage in physicals!)
That's why I like the new RACs, cause you can unjam them.
_________________ "I have lived my life trying to be a virtuous man. The Dragon admires tenacity, and the code of the samurai upholds it as well." -Minobu Tetsuhara
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Hardware Clan Ghost Bear Star Colonel
Joined: 04-Feb-2002 00:00 Posts: 605 Location: United States
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Posted: 05-Aug-2002 21:46 Post subject: RE: My die rolls SUCK! |
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I know, I was in that star!
_________________ The more I get to know people the more I like my dog.
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Sarkkahn Draconis Combine Tai-i
Joined: 12-Jul-2002 00:00 Posts: 394
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Posted: 06-Aug-2002 00:35 Post subject: RE: My die rolls SUCK! |
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I too hate my dice I'm always under average but tiger on the other hand..... I think his dice are loaded or something. _________________ You want some? Come and get it
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Black_Phoenix Clan Nova Cat Star Colonel
Joined: 23-Jun-2002 00:00 Posts: 382
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Posted: 06-Aug-2002 09:49 Post subject: RE: My die rolls SUCK! |
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I have never had one of those, but I have hit it with a large laser before. That is fun.
_________________ History is much like an endless waltz. The three beats of war, peace and revolution continue on forever.
-Gundam Wing: Endless Waltz
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Gangrene Federated Suns Leftenant General
Joined: 04-Feb-2002 00:00 Posts: 939 Location: United States
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Posted: 09-Aug-2002 13:16 Post subject: RE: My die rolls SUCK! |
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Quote:
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On 2002-08-02 17:46, Mechlord3130 wrote:
He said that more likely it was just my perception, because the laws of chance mathematically prove what I was saying simply could't happen.
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Rolling dice is not purely random, or else it would be as he said. I believe (but have no proof) that many dice are not purely homogenous and have a tendency towards a side, and that people can get skilled at rolling a certain pair of dice. It seems to work for me (see whoop'in Talen thread in the general forum).
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"Well," I said, "If I consistantly roll below average, and there is someone else out there that consistantly rolls ABOVE average, wouldn't that be the same math as if I were doing all the rolls? If true, doesn't the math then balance out?"
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No. They are completely separate actions and not at all related.
_________________ Gangrene
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